Tuesday, September 9, 2008

Price / $TICK Divergence on a Correction



Market makes a lower low, and then corrects 62%.




At the top of the correction, we get one of the better signals that the correction is over - a Price / $TICK Divergence.
Charles

2 comments:

  1. Hi Charles,

    Recently found your blog and wanted to say I like your work. Keep up the analysis. I'm still trying to digest everything.

    I also like looking at the $Tick and $Tick Price divergences.

    Do you watch the "relative" $Tick highs and lows compared to the price action? Or just primarily watch for the divergences?

    On the entry you pointed out, the $Tick had returned to making lower relative ticks lows. (A $Tick low similar to the initial low)

    Thanks,
    John

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  2. Hi John,

    When I believe the market is topping, I look for the $TICK to make lower highs while the futures is making a higher high, and vice versa when I believe the market is bottoming. I prefer to look for these divergences at key points, such as a 50 - 62% correction or when I believe the market is ready to complete a two to three day swing move and reverse.

    You don't always get a divergence when the market reverses, but when you see one, it just increases the probability of a successful trade.

    I think that I understood your question correctly. If not, let me know.

    Charles

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