In the top chart, I have 5 Sectors charted with their VWAP (Staples - XLP, Financial - XLF, Technology - XLK, Energy - XLE and Discretionary - XLY). When the Sector is above its VWAP, the bar is painted Green, and Red when they are below their VWAP.
The two charts above are Friday's activity. Just before 1100 ET, Energy led the rest of the market to bullish territory. An up move by the broader market is still iffy since 4 out of 5 sectors are in the red. Just after 1130 ET, the Financials join Energy to the plus side. For any chance of a bullish move, you definitely want these two in the Green (XLF and XLE). However, this is still an iffy bull move.
After Noon ET, Discretionary Stocks also turn Green, which now gives us a majority in Sector Greens. Any corrections to the downside now has a higher probability of a successful long entry. After 1400 ET, Staples join the Green camp, which gives us a good probability that a long position will be profitable.
The above two charts for 05/07/09 shows a market where the majority of Sectors are in the Red. The Staples Sector was the only relatively bullish Sector. However, after 1300 ET, the Staples Sector also turned Red giving a short position a good probability of being profitable.
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